Wednesday, December 14, 2005

Idealism vs. realism in Egypt

By Pat Buchanan

In 1933, a neo-fascist "Young Egypt" movement, modeled on the Nazi Party, was founded. Among its supporters were two young nationalist officers, Gamal Abdel Nasser and Anwar Sadat.

When, in 1942, Rommel's Afrika Corps smashed into Egypt, Sadat, colluding with the Muslim Brotherhood, planned an anti-British uprising. In a proposed treaty with Nazi Germany, Berlin was to recognize an independent Egypt. In return, Sadat wrote, "No British soldier would leave Cairo alive."

In 1970, when the dictator Nasser died, he was replaced by Sadat, who demanded return of the Sinai, lost in the Six-Day War. Ignored, Sadat launched the Yom Kippur War, crossed the Suez Canal and, with his Syrian allies, threatened Israel itself.

President Nixon immediately sent massive aid to Israel and warned Moscow not to intervene, as Ariel Sharon led his brigade across the canal to cut off food and water to Egypt's Third Army. Nixon and Kissinger intervened with Israel to prevent the annihilation of the Third Army.

In 1974, Nixon made a triumphal visit to Egypt. Four years later, Jimmy Carter brokered the Camp David accord between Menachem Begin, who had blown up the King David Hotel in 1946, and Sadat, the Nazi collaborator.

Neither Nixon nor Carter insisted that Sadat hold elections before brokering the truce with Israel or the permanent peace. Nor did the Israelis make such a demand. Indeed, in Israel in June 1967 with Nixon, I heard David Ben-Gurion himself express the hope that Nasser would survive his humiliation in the Six-Day War because, said Ben-Gurion, Nasser alone could conclude a peace with Israel that Arabs might accept.

This is a slice of the U.S. record in the Mideast that Condi Rice dismissed as a failure last summer in Cairo: "For 60 years, my country ... pursued stability at the expense of democracy in this region ... and we achieved neither. Now, we are taking a different course. We are supporting the democratic aspirations of all people."

And how is the Rice-Bush democracy project coming in Cairo?

Not so good. In September, President Hosni Mubarak won yet another six-year term in an election marked by fraud. In the parliamentary elections just ended, the Tomorrow Party of Ayman Nour, leader of the secular democratic forces, won next to nothing and Nour ended up in a jailhouse, courtesy of a Mubarak judge.

By harassing opponents and excluding the Muslim Brotherhood, Mubarak fixed the outcome so his National Democratic Party won 314 of 454 seats, the two-thirds needed to make parliament a rubber stamp. But if the biggest loser was the democratic opposition of Nour, the winner was the Muslim Brotherhood.

Denied the right to participate as a party, the Brotherhood backed independent candidates who swept to victory in 60 percent of the races they contested. They would have done better were it not for the thuggery of NDP mobs and Mubarak's security police.

Where does that leave Egyptian democracy? The Mubarak regime, once the pillar of U.S. policy in the Middle East, has been delegitimized by brutality and fraud. The Muslim Brotherhood, target of the thuggery, has seen its credentials burnished and is now the alternative to Mubarak.

So it goes. We hail the fall of Czar Nicholas and get Lenin. We go to war to hang the Prussian Kaiser and get an Austrian corporal named Hitler. We cut off aid to the "corrupt" regime of Chiang Kai-shek and get Mao Zedong. We denounce Lon Nol and get Pol Pot. We destabilize the Shah and get the Ayatollah.

How many times must we relearn the lesson? The road to hell is paved with good intentions, and the fruits of Wilsonian idealism are rarely ideal.


At 9:54 PM , Anonymous Ayman said...

Violence during the elctions was mutual between the government and the brotherhood. In Dimiatta, the brotherhood associates were armed with all kinds of weapons..knives, name it

At 12:33 PM , Blogger Egypeter said...

The Ekhwan are not the victims!!! Actually, quite the opposite, the more the NDP attacks them the better it is for the only legitimizes them in the eyes of their supporters.

We'll just see how well these clowns do when they actually have to come up and implement a political agenda.

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